On the other hand, calculations show RCEP tariff concessions may end up lowering exports for Cambodia, Indonesia, the Philippines and Viet Nam. The report also finds substantial positive effects for the exports of most other economies, including Australia, China, the Republic of Korea and New Zealand. The country’s exports are expected to rise by about $20 billion, an increase equivalent to about 5.5% relative to its exports to RCEP members in 2019. UNCTAD’s analysis shows Japan would benefit the most from RCEP tariff concessions, largely because of trade diversion effects. Tariff concessions are expected to produce higher trade effects for the largest economies of the bloc, not because of negotiations asymmetries, but largely due to the already low tariffs between many of the other RCEP members.
![china trade blocs associations china trade blocs associations](https://media.nbcnewyork.com/2020/11/GettyImages-1229625159.jpg)
The report highlights that the RCEP members are expected to benefit to varying extents from the agreement. This would result from trade creation – as lower tariffs would stimulate trade between members by nearly $17 billion – and trade diversion – as lower tariffs within the RCEP would redirect trade valued at nearly $25 billion away from non-members to members. Trade between the bloc’s 15 economies was already worth about $2.3 trillion in 2019, and UNCTAD’s analysis shows the agreement’s tariff concessions could further boost exports within the newly formed alliance by nearly 2%, or approximately $42 billion. The tariffs that remain in force will be mainly limited to specific products in strategic sectors, such as agriculture and the automotive industry, in which many of the RCEP members have opted out from trade liberalization commitments. While many tariffs will be abolished immediately, others will be reduced gradually during a 20-year period. Under the RCEP framework, trade liberalization will be achieved through gradual tariff reductions. It will eliminate 90% of tariffs within the bloc, and these concessions are key in understanding the initial impacts of the RCEP on trade, both inside and outside the bloc. The agreement encompasses several areas of cooperation, with tariff concessions a central principle. Recent UNCTAD research shows that trade within such agreements has been relatively more resilient against the pandemic-induced global trade downturn. “The economic size of the emerging bloc and its trade dynamism will make it a centre of gravity for global trade,” the report says.Īmid COVID-19, the entry into force of the RCEP can also promote trade resilience. UNCTAD’s analysis shows that the RCEP’s impact on international trade will be significant.
#China trade blocs associations free
The RCEP will become the largest trade agreement in the world as measured by the GDP of its members – almost of one third of the world’s GDP.īy comparison, other major regional trade agreements by share of global GDP are the South American trade bloc Mercosur (2.4%), Africa’s continental free trade area (2.9%), the European Union (17.9%) and the United States-Mexico-Canada agreement (28%).įigure 1: Selected regional trade agreements by economic size They are Australia, Brunei Darussalam, Cambodia, China, Indonesia, Japan, the Republic of Korea, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, New Zealand, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Viet Nam.
![china trade blocs associations china trade blocs associations](https://img.caixin.com/2019-11-05/1572953251345451.jpg)
The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) includes 15 East Asian and Pacific nations of different economic sizes and stages of development. A new Asia-Pacific free trade agreement set to enter into force on 1 January 2022 will create the world’s largest trading bloc by economic size, according to an UNCTAD study published on 15 December.